Monsoon processes
This session covered the seasonal predictability and natural variability of monsoon climates on all time-scales from intra-seasonal to inter-decadal. In addition, the session covered the interaction between different time and space scales. Issues that the session included:

• Skill of GCMs in simulating monsoon variability and the problems associated with model systematic errorUse of advanced statistical techniques in characterising monsoon variability and assessing model skill
  

• Assessment of the seasonal predictability of monsoons using both statistical analysis of observational data and ensembles of model integrations

• Origins of monsoon predictability particularly, the role of regional SST anomalies

• Future variability of monsoon rainfall on intraseasonal to interannual timescales

• Decadal variability of monsoons in the context of climate change

• Use of high resolution models to assess regional climate change

Key note presentations were given by:

Dr Herve Douville (Meteo France, France)
Dr Kumar R. Kolli (Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, India)
Dr Willi May (Danish Meteorological Institute, Denmark)
Dr Franco Molteni (International Centre for Theoretical Physics, Italy)
Professor J. Shukla (Center for Ocean Land Atmosphere processes, USA)
Dr David Stephenson (Department of Meteorology, University of Reading, U.K>)
Dr Benjamin Sultan (Meteo France, France)

Links to all available powerpoint presentations and abstracts

1. Ocean-Atmosphere interactions

2. Monsoon forecasting and predictability

3. Monsoon variability

4. Modelling monsoons

5. Future monsoons

The following links describe the PROMISE project's contribution to this topic:

WP1000 Natural variability of monsoon climates

WP1100 Seasonal predictability of monsoon climates

WP1200 Sensitivity of monsoon variability/predictability to SST forcing

WP2000 Assessment of future monsoon climates in response to anthropogenic climate change