1. Seasonal predictability and natural variability of monsoon climates
This session will cover the seasonal predictability and natural variability of monsoon climates on all time-scales from intra-seasonal to inter-decadal. In addition, the session will cover the interaction between different time and space scales. Issues that the session will address include:

  • Skill of GCMs in simulating monsoon variability and the problems associated with model systematic errorUse of advanced statistical techniques in characterising monsoon variability and assessing model skill
  • Assessment of the seasonal predictability of monsoons using both statistical analysis of observational data and ensembles of model integrations
  • Origins of monsoon predictability particularly, the role of regional SST anomalies

Key note presentations will be given by:

Dr Kumar R. Kolli (IITM)
Professor J. Shukla (COLA)

The following links describe the PROMISE project's contribution to this topic: