Climate change scenarios - WP2000 Partners involved: MPI (lead contractor), LMD, DMI, CNRM, the Met Office The aim of this work package is yo diagnose the future impacts of anthropogenic climate change on monsoon climates using existing control/scenario integrations. The application of regional models to monsoon systems will be included since they provide the higher spatial resolution needed for the impact studies involving agriculture and hydrology. The incidence of extreme events will be a particular focus of study. Key achievements so far:
Publications on this topic by PROMISE partners Martin, G.M. (2001) K. Arpe, F. Chauvin, L. Ferranti, K. Maynard, J. Polcher, D.B. Stephenson, P. Tschuck (2001) Simulation of the Asian Summer Monsoon in Five European General Circulation Models. Atmospheric Science Letters DOI:10.1006/asle.2000.000 Martin, G.M. 1999. The simulation of the Asian Summer Monsoon, and its sensitivity to horizontal resolution, in the UK Meteorological Office Unified Model. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., 125 1499-1525 Martin, G.M. and Soman, M.K. 2000. Effects of changing physical parametrisations on the simulation of the Asian summer monsoon in the UK Meteorological Office Unified Model. Hadley Centre Technical Note No. 17 Available from The Met. Office, London Road, Bracknell, RG12 2SY, U.K. and online Polcher, J. (1994) Etude de la sensibilite du climat tropical a la deforestation. PhD Thesis, Universite Pierre et Marie Curie, Paris VI. Polcher, J. and Laval, K. (1994a) The impact of African and Amazonian deforestation on tropical climate. Journal of Hydrology 155:389-405. Polcher, J. and Laval, K. (1994b) A statistical study of the regional impact of deforestation on climate in the LMD-GCM. Climate Dynamics 10:205-219. Le Roux, X., Polcher, J., Dedieu, G., Menaut, J. C., and Monteny, B. (1994) Radiation exchanges above west african moist savannas: seasonal patterns, and comparaison with a GCM simulation. J. Geophys. Res. 99(D12):25,857-25,868. Mechoso, C.R., Robertson, A.W., Barth, N., Davey, M.K., Delecluse, P., Gent, P.R., Ineson, S., Kirtman, B., Latif, M., Le Treut, H., Nagai, T., Neelin, J.D., Philander, S.G.H., Polcher, J., Schopf, P.S., Stockdale, T., Suarez, M.J., Terry, L., Thual, O., Tribbia, J.J. (1995). The seasonal cycle over the tropical pacific in general circulation models. Monthly Weather Review 123(9):2825-2838. Polcher, J. (1995) Sensitivity of tropical convection to land surface processes. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 52(17):3143-3161. R.C. Raghava, K. Laval, R. Sadourny, J. Polcher (1995) On the atmospheric response to the tropical denuding of vegetation. Atmospheric Environment 29, pp1963-2000. K. Laval and J. Polcher (1995) Sensitivity of the Indian Monsoon to Land-Surface Evaporationrate in the LMD-GCM. AMIP Scientific Conference, 15-19 May 1995, Monterey, California
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