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People
Work packages
Reports written for PROMISE
Conferences
Relevant publications
Roy Kershaw (PI)
Gill Martin
Dave Rowell
Richard Betts
David Hassell
Richard Graham
WP1000
Natural variability of monsoons
WP1200
Seasonal predictability of monsoon climates
WP2000
Assessment of future monsoon climates in response to anthropogenic climate
change
WP3100
Seasonal prediction of crop yields and assessment of climate change impacts
on crop productivity
WP4000 Development of the PROMISE
data archive (contracted out to CINECA)
EGS
(April 2000)
AGU (Fall 2000)
Rowell, D.P., 1996: Reply to comments by Y.C. Sud and W.K.-M. Lau on `Variability of summer rainfall over tropical north Africa (1906-92): Observations and modelling' by D.P. Rowell, C.K. Folland, K. Maskell and M.N. Ward (April 4, 1995, 121, 669-704): Further analysis of simulated interdecadal and interannual variability of summer rainfall over tropical north Africa. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., 122, 1007-1013
Rowell, D.P., 1998: Assessing
potential seasonal predictability with an ensemble of multi-decadal GCM
simulations. J. Climate, 11, 109-120
Rowell, D.P., 2000: Teleconnections between the tropical Pacific and the Sahel. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., Q.J.R. Meteorl. Soc., submitted
Rowell, D.P., Folland, C.K.,
Maskell, K. and Ward, M.N., 1995: Variability of summer rainfall over
Tropical North Africa (1906-92): Observations and modelling. Q. J.
R. Meteorol. Soc., 121, 669-704
Rowell, D.P., Folland, C.K., Maskell, K., Owen, J.A. and Ward, M.N., 1992: Modelling the influence of global sea surface temperatures on the variability and predictability of seasonal Sahel rainfall. Geophys. Res. Lett., 19, 905-908
Slingo, J.M., Rowell, D.P., Sperber, K.R. and Nortley, F., 1999: On the predictability of the interannual behaviour of the Madden Julian Oscillation and its relationship with El Nino. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., 125, 583-609
Thorncroft, C.D. and Rowell, D.P., 1998: Interannual variability of African wave activity in a GCM. Int. J. Climatol., 18, 1305-1323
Ward, M.N., Folland, C.K.,
Maskell, K., Colman, A., Rowell, D.P. and Lane, K., 1993: Experimental
seasonal forecasting of tropical rainfall at the U.K. Meteorological Office.
In: Prediction of Interannual Climate Variations, Shukla, J. (Ed.),
NATO ASI Series, Vol. I6, Springer-Verlag, Berlin, 197-216
Martin, G.M. 1999. The simulation of the Asian Summer Monsoon, and its sensitivity to horizontal resolution, in the UK Meteorological Office Unified Model. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., 125 1499-1525
Martin, G.M. and Soman, M.K. 2000. Effects of changing physical parametrisations on the simulation of the Asian summer monsoon in the UK Meteorological Office Unified Model. Hadley Centre Technical Note No. 17 Available from The Met. Office, London Road, Bracknell, RG12 2SY, U.K. and online
Martin, G.M. (2001) K. Arpe, F. Chauvin, L. Ferranti, K. Maynard, J. Polcher, D.B. Stephenson, P. Tschuck (2001) Simulation of the Asian Summer Monsoon in Five European General Circulation Models. Atmospheric Science Letters DOI:10.1006/asle.2000.0004 Full text online