Conference on Climate variability and land-surface processes: Physical Interactions and Regional Impacts

11-14 June

J. Slingo Overview of the PROMISE project

Session 1 - Future Climate Scenarios

P. Cox The role of the terrestrial biosphere in climate change
J.F. Royer Impact of greenhouse warming on African monsoon
W. May Simulated changes in the Indian summer monsoon under enhanced greenhouse gas conditions in a global time-slice experiment

Session 2 - Variability and predictability of monsoon circulations and tropical rainfall

D. Rowell Relationship between Mediterranean SST and Sahel rainfal variability
S. Trzaska An improvement of June-September rainfall forecasting in the Sahel based upon regional April-May moist static energy content
B. Sultan West African monsoon variability at intra-seasonal time scales
E. Black An observational study of the relationship between East African rainfall and Indian Ocean SST
R. Kershaw Interannual variability of the Asian summer monsoon in a development version of the Hadley Centre climate model powerpoint presentation (66Kb)
K. Sperber Predictability of the Asian summer monsoon
D. Stephenson Is there any skill in seasonal monsoon forecasts?

Session 3 - Land surface processes: modelling aspects and sensitivity studies

P. Viterbo Sensitivity experiments with the TESSEL scheme in ther ERA-40 version of the ECMWF model
S. Hagemann The 40-year ECMWF Reanalysis dataset: First validation of the hydrological cycle
R. Stockli Satellite-derived state of vegation and land surface parameters servating as space- and time-varying boundary conditions in SVATS modelling
H. Douville Land surface hydrology: parametrization in GCMs and impacts on the interannual variability
R. Schnur The Hamburg-Jena modelling framework for land surface-vegetation feedbacks on climate variability with applicaitons to the North African monsoon system
D. Lawrence Interactive vegetation and soil moisture dynamics in monsoon simulations with the Unified Model
T. Chase Land-atmosphere interactions at the regional scale and their influence on global climate
K. Laval Influence of soil water-holding capacitiy on the global water cycle

Session 4 - Modelling and impact studies on land-use change, hydrology and agriculture

L. Mearns Impacts of climate change on crops and coupling crop growth into climate models: Points of contact
C. Taylor Climatic impacts of land use change in the Sahel
J. Shukla Model simulations of land-atmosphere interactions
E. Tate A grid-based approach to assess the impacts of climate change and land-use change on the water resources of West Africa
A. Challinor Development of crop models for combined seasonal weather and crop forecasting systems (I)
T. Wheeler

Development of crop models for combined seasonal weather and crop forecasting systems (II)
C. Baron A simple crop model for sorghum, millet and groundnut to translate PROMISE climate simulations into agronomic scenarios
A. Samba Using a water balance model (DHC) for pearl millet yield forecasting in the Sahelian regions of West Africa powerpoint presentation (1.4Mb)

Session 5 - Regional Studies: Asia

R.K. Kolli Regional aspects of global climate change: the South Asian context
D. Lohar Impact of land use/land cover alterations and its possible impact on premonsoon climatic variables over Gngetic West Bengal and its neighbourhood, India
S. Hasnain Climate change, shrinking glaciers and floods in the Himalayas
G. Wu Tibetan plateau and global climate
J. Lu A simulation study of atmosphere-vegetation interaction over the Tibetan Plateau

Session 6 - Regional Studies: North America and Europe

S. Seneviratne Risks of summer dryness in mid-latitudes: a process study with a regional climate model
J. Pal Modelling local and remote impacts of soil moisture on North American summer climate
K. Findell Atmospheric control on soil moisture - boundary layer interactions within the continental United States
P.L. Vidale Interannual variability in European vegetation function and climate from the point of view of regional modelling
E. Savin Adaptation of a hydrological model to the Romanian Plain

Session 7 - Regional Studies: Africa

B. Abiodun A numerical investigation of the effect of land-surface heterogeneity on the sea breeze circulations along the coast of Dakar
H.M. Hasanean Associations between stream flow over River Nile and global climate events
N. Abdalla Saeed Use of climate simulations in studies of land-use change and agricultural impact case study (Kordofan area- North-West Sudan)
C. Museruka The low level of pluviometry in the East area of Rwanda